Traditional Commercial Banking - South America

  • South America
  • In South America, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is expected to witness a significant growth in Net Interest Income.
  • By 2024, it is projected to reach a substantial amount of US$116.00bn.
  • Looking ahead, the market is anticipated to maintain a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -0.31%.
  • This growth trajectory is expected to result in a market volume of US$114.20bn by 2029.
  • In a global context, it is noteworthy that in China is projected to generate the highest Net Interest Income.
  • In 2024, in China's Net Interest Income is estimated to reach an impressive US$1,444.0bn.
  • The traditional commercial banking sector in South America is experiencing a shift towards digital banking services to meet the evolving needs of consumers.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in South America is experiencing notable trends and developments that are shaping the industry.

Customer preferences:
Customers in South America are increasingly seeking personalized banking services tailored to their specific needs and preferences. They value convenience, efficiency, and a seamless digital banking experience. As a result, traditional banks in the region are focusing on enhancing their digital capabilities to meet the growing demand for online and mobile banking services.

Trends in the market:
In Brazil, one of the largest economies in South America, traditional commercial banks are facing stiff competition from digital banks and fintech companies. These new players are disrupting the market with innovative products and services, attracting a younger demographic that prefers digital banking solutions. As a response, traditional banks are investing in technology and partnerships to stay competitive and retain their customer base.

Local special circumstances:
In Argentina, economic instability and inflation have posed challenges for the traditional commercial banking sector. As a result, banks in the country have been focusing on risk management and regulatory compliance to navigate the uncertain economic environment. Additionally, the government's intervention in the banking sector has influenced lending practices and interest rates, impacting the profitability of traditional banks.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Political and economic factors play a significant role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market in South America. Countries in the region with stable economic growth and favorable regulatory environments are witnessing growth in their banking sectors. However, volatility in commodity prices, currency fluctuations, and geopolitical risks can impact the performance of traditional banks in South America. Adapting to these macroeconomic factors is crucial for the long-term sustainability of traditional commercial banks in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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