Traditional Commercial Banking - Serbia

  • Serbia
  • In Serbia, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is expected to witness a significant growth in Net Interest Income.
  • By the year 2024, it is projected to reach a substantial value of US$1.35bn.
  • Looking ahead, the market is anticipated to maintain a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.72%.
  • This growth trajectory will result in a market volume of US$1.47bn by 2029.
  • When comparing in Serbia to other countries on a global scale, it is worth noting that China is set to generate the highest Net Interest Income in the Traditional Commercial Banking market sector.
  • In 2024, China is projected to reach a staggering amount of US$1,444.0bn.
  • Serbia's Traditional Commercial Banking sector is experiencing a surge in digitalization, with banks focusing on enhancing online banking services to meet customer demands.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Serbia is experiencing notable shifts and developments in response to evolving customer preferences, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Serbia are increasingly seeking personalized banking services that cater to their individual needs and preferences. This trend is driving traditional commercial banks in the country to enhance their digital offerings, streamline processes, and improve customer service to remain competitive in the market.

Trends in the market:
One significant trend in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Serbia is the growing adoption of online and mobile banking services. Customers are embracing digital channels for their banking needs, leading banks to invest in technology infrastructure and digital solutions to meet the changing demands of the market. Additionally, there is a noticeable shift towards sustainable and socially responsible banking practices, with customers showing a preference for banks that prioritize environmental and social initiatives.

Local special circumstances:
The banking sector in Serbia is influenced by local regulatory frameworks, economic conditions, and cultural factors. As the country continues its path towards European Union integration, banks are required to adhere to stringent regulatory standards and compliance measures. Moreover, the legacy of past economic challenges has shaped customer attitudes towards financial stability and risk management, influencing their choices in traditional commercial banking services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Serbia is also influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and overall economic growth. Fluctuations in these macroeconomic indicators can impact the profitability and lending practices of banks, shaping their strategies and product offerings in response to changing market conditions. Additionally, geopolitical developments and global economic trends play a role in shaping the outlook for the banking sector in Serbia, highlighting the interconnected nature of the market with the broader international landscape.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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