Traditional Commercial Banking - Ethiopia

  • Ethiopia
  • In Ethiopia, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, reaching US$3.15bn in 2024.
  • It is projected that this sector will experience a steady annual growth rate of 5.41% from 2024 to 2029, ultimately reaching a market volume of US$4.10bn by the end of that period.
  • When comparing this data on a global scale, it is noteworthy that China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with an estimated value of US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • Ethiopia's Traditional Commercial Banking market is experiencing significant growth due to the government's push for financial inclusion and the expansion of banking services in rural areas.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Ethiopia has been experiencing notable developments in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Ethiopia are increasingly seeking convenient and accessible banking services. This trend is driving banks to expand their digital offerings to meet the growing demand for online and mobile banking solutions.

Trends in the market:
One key trend in the Ethiopian Traditional Commercial Banking market is the shift towards inclusive banking practices, aimed at reaching unbanked populations in rural areas. Banks are expanding their branch networks to reach more customers and offering simplified account opening processes to improve financial inclusion.

Local special circumstances:
Ethiopia's Traditional Commercial Banking market is influenced by the government's efforts to promote economic growth and development through strategic partnerships with banks. The government's focus on infrastructure projects and industrialization initiatives is creating opportunities for banks to invest in key sectors and support economic progress.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic landscape in Ethiopia, including factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and foreign direct investment, plays a significant role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market. As the economy continues to grow, banks are adapting their strategies to capitalize on emerging opportunities and mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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