Traditional Commercial Banking - Canada

  • Canada
  • In Canada, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$38.58bn in 2024.
  • Looking ahead, the market is expected to maintain a steady growth rate, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -0.41%.
  • This growth trajectory will result in a market volume of US$37.80bn by 2029.
  • When compared to other countries globally, it is noteworthy that China will generate the highest Net Interest Income, estimated to be US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • With the rise of digital banking, traditional commercial banks in Canada are embracing technology to enhance customer experience and remain competitive.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

Over the past few years, the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Canada has been experiencing notable developments and shifts.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Canada are increasingly seeking more personalized and convenient banking services, driving the traditional commercial banks in the country to invest in digital transformation and innovation. This shift is in line with global trends where customers are demanding seamless online banking experiences and access to a wide range of digital financial products.

Trends in the market:
One prominent trend in the Canadian Traditional Commercial Banking market is the rise of challenger banks and fintech companies offering competitive alternatives to traditional banks. These new entrants are leveraging technology to provide agile and customer-centric banking solutions, posing a challenge to established banks. As a response, traditional banks in Canada are focusing on enhancing their digital capabilities, streamlining operations, and improving customer engagement to stay competitive in the evolving landscape.

Local special circumstances:
Canada's banking sector is dominated by a few major players, leading to a highly concentrated market. This concentration poses challenges for new entrants looking to establish themselves in the market. Additionally, regulatory requirements in Canada are stringent, creating barriers to entry for foreign banks and fostering a stable banking environment dominated by domestic players.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The economic stability and steady growth of the Canadian economy play a significant role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market. Favorable economic conditions, such as low unemployment rates and a resilient banking system, contribute to the overall growth and profitability of banks in Canada. Moreover, government policies and regulations aimed at promoting financial stability and consumer protection influence the operations and strategies of traditional commercial banks in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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