Grocery Delivery - Uzbekistan | Statista Market Forecast

The projected revenue in the Grocery Delivery market in Uzbekistan is estimated to reach US$29.11m in 2024.
It is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 7.02%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$40.87m by 2029.
On the other hand, the Retail Delivery market is anticipated to have a projected market volume of US$29.11m in 2024.
When compared globally, China is expected to generate the highest revenue, amounting to US$266.00bn in 2024.
In terms of average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Grocery Delivery market, it is projected to be approximately US$6.83 in 2024.
Furthermore, the number of users in the Grocery Delivery market is expected to reach 5.8m users by 2029.
The user penetration rate in the Grocery Delivery market in Uzbekistan is predicted to be 12.0% in 2024.
Grocery delivery services in Uzbekistan are experiencing rapid growth due to increased demand for convenience and safety during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Definition:

The Grocery Delivery market consists of food and non-food products that people regularly buy from a grocery store, including food and beverages, pet food, household cleaning products, personal care products, and other household consumables. Grocery delivery can be purchased through several different sales channels such as Omnichannel, Quick Commerce, or directly from the store.

Structure:

Grocery Delivery contains three markets: Retail Delivery, Quick Commerce, and Meal Kit Delivery. Retail Delivery includes delivery of these products directly by supermarkets, brick-and-mortar shops, or grocery stores. The order is placed through an online shop run by the retailer (e.g. Walmart+, Amazon Fresh). Quick Commerce focuses on online delivery services that provide customers with last-mile delivery (Instacart), or operate ghost stores where product selection is limited but delivery time is faster (e.g. Gorillas, Getir, and Glovo). In this case, the platform (e.g. Gorillas) handles the delivery process. This also includes grocery delivery platforms where delivery is advertised under 3 hours, although, most players aim to deliver in minutes. Finally, Meal Kit Delivery encompasses the delivery of a recipe box where fresh ingredients are delivered to be prepared. This service is usually offered as a subscription plan (e.g. HelloFresh).

Additional Information:

Revenue figures refer to Gross Merchandise Value (GMV). User and revenue figures represent B2C services.

Fresh food & Beverages, personal care, or household items ordered online are directly delivered to the consumer, no matter if ordered via a platform (e.g., Instacart) or a retailer website (e.g., Walmart)
Online Grocery orders and delivery are both carried out by a retailer (e.g., Walmart)
Online orders that are picked up in the supermarket (e.g., Instacart) or operating ghost warehouses and delivery logistics (e.g., Flink)
Online orders of recipe boxes where the ingredients are already preportioned (e.g., HelloFresh)

Phone orders
Deliveries of prepared meals for direct consumption (e.g. Meal Delivery)

The demand for grocery delivery services in Uzbekistan has been on a steady rise in recent years.

Customer preferences: Uzbekistan, like many other countries, has seen a significant shift in customer preferences towards online shopping and home delivery services. The convenience of shopping from home and having items delivered to one's doorstep has become increasingly popular among consumers. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has further accelerated this trend, as more people are opting for contactless delivery options.

Trends in the market: One of the major trends in the grocery delivery market in Uzbekistan is the entry of new players. Several new startups have emerged in recent years, offering a range of grocery delivery services to consumers. This has led to increased competition in the market, which has resulted in better services and lower prices for customers. Additionally, there has been a trend towards the use of mobile applications for grocery ordering and delivery, as consumers increasingly prefer the convenience of ordering through their smartphones.

Local special circumstances: Uzbekistan is a country with a relatively low level of internet penetration, which has been a barrier to the growth of e-commerce and online shopping. However, this is changing rapidly, as more people gain access to the internet and smartphones. In addition, the country has a large population of young people who are tech-savvy and have a preference for online shopping. These factors are driving the growth of the grocery delivery market in Uzbekistan.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Uzbekistan has been experiencing steady economic growth in recent years, which has resulted in an increase in disposable income for many consumers. This has led to a rise in consumer spending, including on grocery items. Additionally, the government has been implementing policies to encourage entrepreneurship and innovation, which has led to the emergence of new startups in the grocery delivery market. Finally, the COVID-19 pandemic has played a role in the growth of the market, as more people are opting for home delivery services to avoid going to crowded supermarkets.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Ecommerce market, in a PDF format.