Retail Delivery - Japan

Japan

Highlights

The Reail Delivery market in Japan is projected to reach a revenue of ¥US$27.44bn in 2024.
It is expected to have an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 8.31%, resulting in a projected market volume of ¥US$40.89bn by 2029.
The number of users in the Reail Delivery market is expected to amount to 35.1m users by 2029.
The user penetration rate is projected to be 23.3% in 2024 and is expected to reach 29.5% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be ¥US$961.90.
In global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Reail Delivery market, with ¥US$195.40bn in 2024.
The United States has the highest projected user penetration rate in the Reail Delivery market, with a rate of 30.4%.
In Japan, the retail delivery market is experiencing a surge in demand for contactless delivery options due to the country's preference for convenience and safety.

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Retail Delivery market in Japan has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by changing consumer preferences and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences: Japanese consumers are increasingly turning to online shopping due to the convenience it offers, particularly in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. This has led to a surge in demand for home delivery services, with consumers expecting faster and more reliable delivery times. In addition, consumers are increasingly seeking out eco-friendly delivery options, such as those that use electric vehicles or bicycles.

Trends in the market: One key trend in the Japanese Retail Delivery market is the rise of same-day delivery services. As consumers become more accustomed to the convenience of online shopping, they are demanding faster and more flexible delivery options. This has led to the emergence of new delivery models, such as crowdsourced delivery services and on-demand delivery platforms. Another trend is the increasing use of data analytics and AI to optimize delivery routes and improve efficiency.

Local special circumstances: One factor driving the growth of the Retail Delivery market in Japan is the country's aging population. As more elderly people choose to stay at home, there is an increasing need for home delivery services. In addition, Japan's geography and urban density make it a challenging market for traditional delivery companies, leading to the emergence of new delivery models that are better suited to the local environment.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Japanese economy has been experiencing a period of slow growth in recent years, with low inflation and an aging population. However, the government has been taking steps to stimulate economic growth, such as through the promotion of digital transformation and the development of new industries. This has created opportunities for companies in the Retail Delivery market to innovate and expand their services.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.