Casual Dating - Estonia

  • Estonia
  • Revenue in the Casual Dating market is projected to reach US$22.48k in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.74%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$24.50k by 2029.
  • In the Casual Dating market, the number of users is expected to amount to 19.6k users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 1.5% in 2024 and is expected to hit 1.5% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$1.15.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$293.80m in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 4.6%, the user penetration in the Casual Dating market is highest in Armenia.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Dating market in Estonia is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Estonian customers are increasingly turning to online dating platforms to find potential partners. This shift in customer preferences can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the convenience and accessibility of online dating platforms allow individuals to connect with a larger pool of potential partners, increasing their chances of finding a compatible match. Additionally, the anonymity provided by these platforms appeals to many Estonians who may be hesitant to approach potential partners in traditional social settings.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Estonian online dating market is the growing popularity of niche dating platforms. These platforms cater to specific interests or demographics, allowing individuals to connect with like-minded individuals. This trend reflects the increasing demand for personalized and targeted dating experiences. Additionally, there has been a rise in the use of mobile dating apps, enabling individuals to connect with potential partners on the go. This trend aligns with the global shift towards mobile usage and the increasing reliance on smartphones for various activities, including dating.

Local special circumstances:
Estonia's relatively small population size and close-knit communities contribute to the growth of the online dating market. In a country where everyone seems to know each other, online dating offers a way to expand one's social circle and meet new people outside of their immediate network. This factor, combined with the increasing acceptance and normalization of online dating, has contributed to the market's growth in Estonia.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development of the online dating market in Estonia can also be attributed to underlying macroeconomic factors. The country's strong internet infrastructure and high internet penetration rate provide a solid foundation for the growth of online services, including online dating. Additionally, Estonia's high level of digital literacy and tech-savvy population further support the adoption of online dating platforms. The country's favorable business environment and supportive government policies towards the digital sector also contribute to the growth of the online dating market. In conclusion, the Online Dating market in Estonia is experiencing significant growth and development. This can be attributed to changing customer preferences, including the desire for convenience and anonymity, as well as the increasing popularity of niche dating platforms and mobile dating apps. Local special circumstances, such as Estonia's small population size and close-knit communities, also contribute to the market's growth. Furthermore, underlying macroeconomic factors, including Estonia's strong internet infrastructure and digital literacy, support the development of the online dating market in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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