South Korea's population is aging at an alarming rate. In 2023, it boasted the
. This trend is set to continue and intensify in the coming years. By 2025, South Korea is expected to become a "super-aged society," with over 20 percent of the population being 65 years or older. Efforts to reverse the country's plummeting birth rate have thus far been unsuccessful.
The economic impact of population aging in South Korea
In 1983, South Korea's fertility rate dipped below the "replacement level" of 2.1 children per woman – the average number of births per woman required to maintain the current population size. In 2023,
a mere 230,000 children were born, which was almost one-third of the level 20 years ago. The reasons behind this drastic decline in birth rates are high child-rearing costs, soaring property prices, and a work culture that hampers women's career progression after having children. If this trend persists,
the country's total population is estimated to shrink to 36 million by 2072 – around two-thirds of the current population.
Conversely,
the elderly population aged 65 years and above is projected to more than double by 2050. The decline in the working-age population and the simultaneous
increase in dependent people will impose a significant financial and social burden on the younger generation. Official estimates suggest that the national pension fund will be depleted in the next 30 years if the current pension system is maintained. Moreover, the Bank of Korea has warned that the declining birth rate may lead to negative economic growth from 2050 onwards.
How is South Korea tackling its demographic challenges?
Over the past two decades, the
South Korean government spent approximately 280 trillion South Korean won (about 200 billion U.S. dollars) to increase the country's fertility rate, but with little success. The budget allocation lacked clear objectives, and insufficient funds were directed toward supporting pregnancy, childbirth, and childcare. In international comparison,
South Korea’s spending on family benefits was among the lowest in 2022. Realizing the urgent need for a change in strategy, the current Yoon Suk Yeol administration has proposed new plans to address the demographic crisis by focusing on critical areas and improving inter-ministerial cooperation. However, it remains to be seen how effective these measures will be in the long run.
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