This statistic presents the share of global population experiencing global warming based on various warming scenarios as of 2018. According to the source, under a average warming temperature of 3 degrees Celsius worldwide, six percent of the global population will actually experience an average warming temperature of 4 degrees Celsius.
Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario*
Scenario
Less than 1.5°C
Over 1.5°C
Over 2°C
Over 3°C
Over 4°C
Over 5°C
Over 6°C
RCP 8.5 (4.8°C)
-
-
-
14%
42%
37%
7%
RCP 6 (3.0°C)
-
-
37%
57%
6%
-
-
RCP 4.5 (2.7°C)
-
2%
72%
25%
1%
-
-
RCP 2.6 (1.7°C)
20%
66%
14%
-
-
-
-
Current day
84%
16%
-
-
-
-
-
0%25%50%75%100%125%
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* Warming experienced by the global population at present day and in different future Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Based on 2020 projected population data from GPWv4 and CMIP5 multimodel mean warming between 1900-1920 and 2080-2100.
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Carbon Brief. (July 2, 2018). Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario* [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 28, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/
Carbon Brief. "Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario*." Chart. July 2, 2018. Statista. Accessed April 28, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/
Carbon Brief. (2018). Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario*. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 28, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/
Carbon Brief. "Share of Global Population Experiencing Warming Temperatures as of 2018, by Scenario*." Statista, Statista Inc., 2 Jul 2018, https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/
Carbon Brief, Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario* Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/ (last visited April 28, 2025)
Share of global population experiencing warming temperatures as of 2018, by scenario* [Graph], Carbon Brief, July 2, 2018. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/878563/global-warming-temperatures-experienced-by-world-population/
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