This survey shows the total projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, and Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario, as a percentage of GDP. Under the current rate of infection the total projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in South America were estimated to be 0.03 percent of the GDP from 2015 to 2017.
Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario
(as a percentage of GDP)
Brazil, Colombia, Central and South America, Suriname
Survey time period
2015 to 2017
Method of interview
Telephone interviews and online survey
Supplementary notes
*The three scenarios were:
Baseline Zika (current rate of infection): This scenario
assumes that the spread of the infection in each country
will follow a pattern similar to that seen since the
beginning of the epidemic in the region, as per linear
projections based on the data released by country health
authorities and published by PAHO [28]. This represents
a conservative scenario in which the epidemic will exhibit
three equal-sized infection seasons and in which containment
efforts through investments in vector control and
other prevention efforts are such that the rate of spread of
the disease does not increase.
Medium Zika (intermediate infection rate): This scenario
assumes that the share of the population infected
by Zika in the current epidemic (again assumed to last
for three seasons) will be similar to that of recent epidemics
of chikungunya and dengue, or around 20 percent
[29], [30]. It is assumed that the epidemic will exhibit
three equal-sized infection seasons. Under this scenario,
prevention and vector control efforts are likely moderate
and/or moderately successful.
High Zika (high infection rate): This scenario assumes
a cumulative infection rate in the susceptible population
of 73 percent, corresponding to the highest incidence
on record to date [31]. It is assumed that the epidemic
will exhibit three equal-sized infection seasons. Under
this scenario, prevention and vector control efforts are
likely minimal, ineffective and in need of significant
strengthening.
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UNDP, & The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) . (April 3, 2017). Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario (as a percentage of GDP) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 21, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/
UNDP, und The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) . "Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario (as a percentage of GDP)." Chart. April 3, 2017. Statista. Accessed December 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/
UNDP, The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) . (2017). Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario (as a percentage of GDP). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/
UNDP, and The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) . "Projected Short-term Costs of The Zika Epidemic in The Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by Scenario (as a Percentage of Gdp)." Statista, Statista Inc., 3 Apr 2017, https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/
UNDP & The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) , Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario (as a percentage of GDP) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/ (last visited December 21, 2024)
Projected short-term costs of the Zika epidemic in the Caribbean, Central and South America from 2015 to 2017, by scenario (as a percentage of GDP) [Graph], UNDP, & The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) , April 3, 2017. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/730737/zika-epidemic-total-estimated-costs-in-caribbean-central-and-south-america-by-scenario/
