This statistic shows the probability of success for new oncology and non-oncology drugs in the U.S. through the various stages of development, from January 1, 2011, to November 30, 2020. It was found that while the probability that a new non-oncology drug makes it from phase I to approval was 9.3 percent, it was only 5.3 percent for oncology drugs.
Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020
Only company-sponsored, FDA registration-enabling development
programs were included in this analysis. Investigator-sponsored studies and combinations with other
investigational drugs were excluded.
* NDA - New Drug Application / BLA - Biologic License Application.
Profit from the additional features of your individual account
Currently, you are using a shared account. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set
statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account.
If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again.
Learn more about how Statista can support your business.
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, & Pharma Intelligence, & QLS Advisors. (February 26, 2021). Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 22, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, und Pharma Intelligence, und QLS Advisors. "Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020." Chart. February 26, 2021. Statista. Accessed December 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, Pharma Intelligence, QLS Advisors. (2021). Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, and Pharma Intelligence, and QLS Advisors. "Probability of Success for Oncology Vs Non-oncology Drugs in The U.S. in The Different Development Phases from 2011 to 2020." Statista, Statista Inc., 26 Feb 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization & Pharma Intelligence & QLS Advisors, Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/ (last visited December 22, 2024)
Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 [Graph], Biotechnology Innovation Organization, & Pharma Intelligence, & QLS Advisors, February 26, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
