This statistic shows the probability of success for new oncology and non-oncology drugs in the U.S. through the various stages of development, from January 1, 2011, to November 30, 2020. It was found that while the probability that a new non-oncology drug makes it from phase I to approval was 9.3 percent, it was only 5.3 percent for oncology drugs.
Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020
Only company-sponsored, FDA registration-enabling development
programs were included in this analysis. Investigator-sponsored studies and combinations with other
investigational drugs were excluded.
* NDA - New Drug Application / BLA - Biologic License Application.
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Biotechnology Innovation Organization, & Pharma Intelligence, & QLS Advisors. (February 26, 2021). Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 21, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, und Pharma Intelligence, und QLS Advisors. "Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020." Chart. February 26, 2021. Statista. Accessed November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, Pharma Intelligence, QLS Advisors. (2021). Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization, and Pharma Intelligence, and QLS Advisors. "Probability of Success for Oncology Vs Non-oncology Drugs in The U.S. in The Different Development Phases from 2011 to 2020." Statista, Statista Inc., 26 Feb 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
Biotechnology Innovation Organization & Pharma Intelligence & QLS Advisors, Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/ (last visited November 21, 2024)
Probability of success for oncology vs non-oncology drugs in the U.S. in the different development phases from 2011 to 2020 [Graph], Biotechnology Innovation Organization, & Pharma Intelligence, & QLS Advisors, February 26, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/597819/drug-development-phases-probability-of-success-oncology-nononcology-drugs/
