Fossil fuels, such as natural gas and oil are forecasted to be the main primary energy in terms of demand in the United Kingdom. Primary energy demand of natural gas is projected to reach 63 million metric tons of oil equivalent in 2040. By comparison, renewables and waste sources primary energy demand is expected to increase and amount to 26 million metric tons of oil equivalent in 2040.
Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source*
(in million metric tons of oil equivalent)
Characteristic
Electricity net imports
Natural gas
Nuclear
Oil
Renewables & waste**
Solids***
2040
6
63
21
62
26
4
2035
6
61
16
65
27
4
2030
4
60
14
68
27
4
2025
3
61
11
70
29
5
2020
2
68
15
73
25
5
2015
2
69
15
75
19
25
020406080100
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* Includes all uses of energy products in the United Kingdom. Projected data is taken from the reference scenario, which is based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices and contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including 'planned' policies).
** Renewables and waste includes generation from solar, wind and hydropower as well as road and transport biofuels use. *** Solids includes coal and manufactured fuel.
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UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. (December 7, 2021). Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source* (in million metric tons of oil equivalent) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 15, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. "Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source* (in million metric tons of oil equivalent)." Chart. December 7, 2021. Statista. Accessed April 15, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. (2021). Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source* (in million metric tons of oil equivalent). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 15, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy. "Projected Primary Energy Demand in The United Kingdom (Uk) from 2015 to 2040, by Source* (in Million Metric Tons of Oil Equivalent)." Statista, Statista Inc., 7 Dec 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source* (in million metric tons of oil equivalent) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/ (last visited April 15, 2025)
Projected primary energy demand in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2015 to 2040, by source* (in million metric tons of oil equivalent) [Graph], UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, December 7, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/494956/projected-primary-energy-demand-by-source-uk/
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