Transportation sector carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom are projected to decrease by roughly 26 percent between 2022 and 2040 under the reference scenario. Under a scenario with similar assumptions to the reference scenario but with higher fossil fuel prices (FFP - high), transportation sector CO₂ emissions would fall by slightly over 30 percent over the same time frame, to 79 million metric tons (MtCO₂).
Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario
(in million metric tons)
Reference Scenario: Based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices. Contains policies that have already been implemented and those planned policies (“EEP-ready” policies).
Low Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected fossil fuel prices.
High Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected fossil fuel prices.
Low economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points lower e.g. growth of 3% would become 2.75%).
High economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points higher e.g. growth of 3% would become 3.25%).
Existing Policies: UNFCCC With Existing Measures scenario. Contains central price and growth assumptions but without any planned policies included.
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GOV.UK. (November 30, 2023). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 19, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario (in million metric tons)." Chart. November 30, 2023. Statista. Accessed December 19, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. (2023). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario (in million metric tons). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 19, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected Carbon Dioxide (Co₂) Emissions from Transportation in The United Kingdom (Uk) from 2020 to 2040, by Scenario (in Million Metric Tons)." Statista, Statista Inc., 30 Nov 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK, Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario (in million metric tons) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/ (last visited December 19, 2024)
Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph], GOV.UK, November 30, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/