Iran’s inflation rate rose sharply to 34.69 percent in 2019 and was projected to rise another 14 percentage points before slowly starting to decline. Given the recent sanctions by the United States regarding the nuclear deal, this number has both political and economic implications.
Political implications
President Hassan Rouhani won the 2017 election based on economic promises, many stemming from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal. Lifting these sanctions opened the Iranian economy to many opportunities, including the chance to benefit from increased oil exports. The JCPOA was an integral part of the Rouhani campaign, so any economic hardship that is linked to the deal will likely be blamed on the president.
Economic implications
High inflation leads to high interest rates, which leads to less borrowing. Less borrowing means less investment, which slows economic growth. This slower growth often leads to higher inflation, which is what economists call an inflationary spiral. As such, Iran will have difficulty achieving substantial GDP growth until inflation returns to manageable rates.
Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029
(compared to previous year)
Characteristic
Inflation rate
2029*
25%
2028*
25%
2027*
25%
2026*
27.5%
2025*
32.5%
2024*
37.5%
2023
41.5%
2022
45.75%
2021
40.21%
2020
36.43%
2019
34.69%
2018
30.23%
2017
9.64%
2016
9.05%
2015
11.92%
2014
15.56%
2013
34.7%
2012
30.57%
2011
21.53%
2010
12.3%
2009
10.82%
2008
25.3%
2007
18.41%
2006
12%
2005
10.25%
2004
15.32%
2003
15.57%
2002
15.83%
2001
11.54%
2000
12.29%
1999
20.24%
1998
18.45%
1997
16.54%
1996
23.92%
1995
49.32%
1994
34.86%
1993
22.47%
1992
24.48%
1991
20.17%
1990
9%
1989
17.4%
1988
28.9%
1987
27.71%
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IMF. (April 22, 2024). Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029 (compared to previous year) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 21, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/
IMF. "Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029 (compared to previous year)." Chart. April 22, 2024. Statista. Accessed November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/
IMF. (2024). Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029 (compared to previous year). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/
IMF. "Iran: Inflation Rate from 1987 to 2029 (Compared to Previous Year)." Statista, Statista Inc., 22 Apr 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/
IMF, Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029 (compared to previous year) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/ (last visited November 21, 2024)
Iran: Inflation rate from 1987 to 2029 (compared to previous year) [Graph], IMF, April 22, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/294320/iran-inflation-rate/