U.S. natural gas export revenue 2025: four scenarios

This statistic shows the U.S. natural gas export revenue between 2015 and 2025, by scenario. According to the reference scenario, the average U.S. natural gas export revenue will be 9.47 billion U.S. dollars over this period. The reference scenario is a a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends.

Forecast of U.S. natural gas export revenue between 2015 and 2025, by scenario (billion U.S. dollars)*

Characteristic	Export revenue in billion U.S. dollars
Reference case	9.47
High shale case	7.51
Low shale case	12.83
High macroeconomic Growth	10.04

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Release date

January 2012

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Region

United States

Survey time period

2011

Supplementary notes

* According to the source, the four scenarios of increased natural gas exports were considered in the context of four cases from its 2011 Annual Energy Outlook that reflect varying perspectives on the domestic natural gas supply situation and the growth rate of the U.S. economy:

The reference case is a a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends.
The High Shale Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) case reflects more optimistic assumptions about domestic natural gas supply prospects , with the EUR per shale gas well for new, undrilled wells assumed to be 50 percent higher than in the Reference case
The Low Shale EUR case reflects less optimistic assumptions about domestic natural gas supp ly prospects , with the EUR per shale gas well for new, undrilled wells assumed to be 50 percent lower than in the Reference case
The High Economic Growth case assumes that the U.S. gross domestic product will grow at an average annual rate of 3.2 percent from 2009 to 2035, compared to 2.7 percent in the Reference case, which increases domestic energy demand

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