China was the world's biggest GHG emitter in 2022, with net emissions of 12.8 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO₂e). Under a Current Mid-Century Commitments Scenario, China's net GHG emissions are projected to decrease by almost 25 percent by 2035 from 2022 levels, to 9.8 GtCO₂e. Despite these reductions, China would remain the world's biggest emitter by far. Meanwhile, India would surpass the U.S. as the second biggest emitter in this scenario, with the South Asian country's net GHG emissions rising 50 percent to 5.3 GtCO₂e by 2035. In comparison, U.S. emissions would fall almost 60 percent during this period.
Under the Current Mid-Century Commitments Scenario, G20 economies as a whole are projected to reduce emissions by some 25 percent by 2035, relative to 2022 levels.
Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035
(in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)
*Mexico has not announced a mid-century target. Therefore, this statistic shows a course to net-zero by 2060.
The Current Mid-Century Commitments Scenario illustrates the outlook for global emissions and temperature if all countries meet their 2030 NDCs and all countries achieve emission reductions consistent with a straight-line path to their current nationally-determined targets of net-zero emissions or carbon neutrality by mid-century.
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Rhodium Group. (November 23, 2024). Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035 (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved January 09, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/
Rhodium Group. "Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035 (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)." Chart. November 23, 2024. Statista. Accessed January 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/
Rhodium Group. (2024). Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035 (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: January 09, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/
Rhodium Group. "Historical Net Greenhouse Gas (Ghg) Emissions of G20 Economies in 2022, and a Projection for 2035 (in Million Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent)." Statista, Statista Inc., 23 Nov 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/
Rhodium Group, Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035 (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/ (last visited January 09, 2025)
Historical net greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of G20 economies in 2022, and a projection for 2035 (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph], Rhodium Group, November 23, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1549877/net-ghg-emissions-projections-by-g20-country/