Southern Africa: political stability index 2023

In 2023, Mozambique had the lowest score in the political stability and absence of violence or terrorism index in Southern Africa, at minus 1.27 points. This indicates that the country is facing moderate to significant challenges, which have led to a low stability outcome. This is likely due to historical grievances, governance challenges, regional disparities, and external threats such as terrorism. In the same year, a few Southern African countries recorded positive index values, with Botswana achieving the highest score of 1.04 points.

Political stability and absence of violence or terrorism index in Southern Africa from 2005 to 2023, by country

Characteristic	Botswana	Namibia	Zambia	Lesotho	Eswatini	South Africa	Zimbabwe	Mozambique
2005	1.06	0.63	0.11	0	-0.39	-0.16	-1.27	0.13
2006	1.02	0.78	0.36	-0.12	-0.27	0.05	-0.93	0.52
2007	1.06	1.02	0.36	-0.39	0.05	0.22	-1.11	0.36
2008	1.03	1.2	0.47	-0.2	-0.08	0.05	-1.21	0.38
2009	0.95	0.93	0.57	0.33	-0.01	-0.11	-1.17	0.63
2010	0.99	0.85	0.52	0.46	-0.08	-0.03	-1.1	0.39
2011	1.06	0.91	0.51	0.38	-0.48	0.02	-0.95	0.33
2012	1.1	0.98	0.66	0.27	-0.41	-0.03	-0.78	0.39
2013	1.1	0.96	0.44	0.34	-0.43	-0.05	-0.67	-0.23
2014	1.01	0.61	0.16	-0.33	-0.5	-0.15	-0.71	-0.34
2015	1.03	0.73	0.14	-0.32	-0.48	-0.22	-0.62	-0.52
2016	0.98	0.7	0.13	-0.24	-0.49	-0.15	-0.62	-1.1
2017	1.01	0.62	0.14	-0.19	-0.27	-0.28	-0.71	-0.92
2018	0.96	0.69	0.08	-0.19	-0.38	-0.24	-0.72	-0.83
2019	1.1	0.53	-0.12	-0.43	-0.27	-0.28	-0.94	-0.77
2020	1.01	0.51	-0.13	-0.25	-0.04	-0.25	-1.05	-1.28
2021	1.04	0.52	0.05	-0.21	-0.35	-0.75	-0.95	-1.26
2022	1.07	0.56	0.16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.68	-0.89	-1.27
2023	1.04	0.54	0.2	-0.31	-0.36	-0.67	-0.93	-1.27

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Release date

December 2024

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Region

Africa, Botswana, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Lesotho, Eswatini

Survey time period

2005 to 2023

Supplementary notes

Figures have been rounded.

The source defines the indicator as: "Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism measures perceptions of the likelihood of political instability and/or politically-motivated violence, including terrorism. Estimate gives the country's score on the aggregate indicator, in units of a standard normal distribution, i.e. ranging from approximately -2.5 to 2.5."

Score of 2.5 = political stability and absence of violence.

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