As of November 1, 2024, the UK bond market displayed a positive spread of 10.1 basis points between 10-year and 2-year yields, indicating long-term rates above short-term ones. The 5-year versus 2-year spread showed a negative 3.5 basis points, while the 2-year versus 1-year spread is even lower at -15.4 basis points, suggesting an inverted yield curve in shorter maturities.
The negative spreads in the German bond market, particularly the -3.5 basis points between 5-year and 2-year yields and -15.4 basis points between 2-year and 1-year yields, indicate a partially inverted yield curve. This often signals investor pessimism about short-term economic prospects, as investors seek the relative safety of long-term bonds, pushing those yields down relative to shorter-term bonds. An inverted yield curve is typically interpreted as a potential indicator of economic slowdown or recession, as it reflects expectations of lower interest rates in the future to stimulate the economy.
Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024
(in basis points)
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Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (October 31, 2024). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in basis points) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 21, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in basis points)." Chart. October 31, 2024. Statista. Accessed November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (2024). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in basis points). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 21, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government Bonds' Spread between Long, Medium, and Short Maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in Basis Points)." Statista, Statista Inc., 31 Oct 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in basis points) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/ (last visited November 21, 2024)
Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in Germany as of November 1, 2024 (in basis points) [Graph], Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), October 31, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534783/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-germany/