As of January 7, 2025, the UK bond market displayed a positive spread of 21.5 basis points between 10-year and 2-year yields, indicating long-term rates slightly above short-term ones. The 5-year versus 2-year spread showed a negative 2.1 basis points, while the 2-year versus 1-year spread was even lower at -17.9 basis points, suggesting an inverted yield curve in shorter maturities.
The negative spreads in the UK bond market, particularly the -2.1 basis points between 5-year and 2-year yields and -17.9 basis points between 2-year and 1-year yields, indicate an inverted yield curve. This often signals investor pessimism about short-term economic prospects, as investors seek the relative safety of long-term bonds, pushing those yields down relative to shorter-term bonds. An inverted yield curve is typically interpreted as a potential indicator of economic slowdown or recession, as it reflects expectations of lower interest rates in the future to stimulate the economy.
Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025
(in basis points)
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Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025
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Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (January 6, 2025). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025 (in basis points) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 05, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025 (in basis points)." Chart. January 6, 2025. Statista. Accessed April 05, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). (2025). Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025 (in basis points). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 05, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com). "Government Bonds' Spread between Long, Medium, and Short Maturity in The United Kingdom (Uk) as of January 7, 2025 (in Basis Points)." Statista, Statista Inc., 6 Jan 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/
Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025 (in basis points) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/ (last visited April 05, 2025)
Government bonds' spread between long, medium, and short maturity in the United Kingdom (UK) as of January 7, 2025 (in basis points) [Graph], Website (worldgovernmentbonds.com), January 6, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1534782/gov-bonds-spread-between-long-medium-and-short-maturity-uk/
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