Leading impacts of the Israel-Hamas conflict on ASEAN 2024

Original question: "What is the most likely impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on Southeast Asia?"

ASEAN stands for Association of Southeast Asian Nations and is a political and economic union composed of the ten member states Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

On their calculation methodology for ASEAN average figures, the source states the following:

We decided to apply a different methodology this year assigning a 10% weighted average to each country’s responses to calculate the average figures for ASEAN as a whole. This is to ensure that the responses of each country are represented by equal proportion, given that ASEAN’s decision-making processes are based on each country having equal say, regardless of country or population size.

Number of respondents in 2024 survey: n = 1,994

Respondent share by nationality:

Brunei: 3.9%
Cambodia: 9.5%
Indonesia: 13.3%
Laos: 8%
Malaysia: 11.3%
Myanmar: 9.5%
Philippines: 10.8%
Singapore: 13.7%
Thailand: 10.1%
Vietnam: 10%