Land impacted by inundation due to sea level rise is projected to rise in Italy under various Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP).
Under the SPP1-2.6 low emission scenario, the area under mean sea level is expected to reach almost 575 square kilometers by the end of the century, relative to historic baseline. For comparison, under the SPP5-8.5 very high emission scenario, the area affected is expected to be 961 square kilometers at the same time frame.
Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario
(in square kilometers)
Characteristic
Low Emissions (SSP1-2.6)
Intermediate Emissions (SSP2-4.5)
Very High Emissions (SSP5-8.5)
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Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP): SSP1-1.9: very low GHG emissions - CO₂ emissions cut to net zero around 2050. SSP1-2.6: low GHG emissions - CO₂ emissions cut to net zero around 2075. SSP2-4.5: intermediate GHG emissions - CO₂ emissions around current levels until 2050, then falling but not reaching net zero by 2100: SSP3-7.0: high GHG emissions - CO₂ emissions double by 2100. SSP5-8.5: very high GHG emissions - CO₂ emissions triple by 2075.
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UNDP. (June 30, 2024). Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in square kilometers) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved August 24, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/
UNDP. "Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in square kilometers)." Chart. June 30, 2024. Statista. Accessed August 24, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/
UNDP. (2024). Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in square kilometers). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: August 24, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/
UNDP. "Area under Mean Sea Level Caused by Climate Change in Italy in Time Frames from 2020 to 2099, by Emission Scenario (in Square Kilometers)." Statista, Statista Inc., 30 Jun 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/
UNDP, Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in square kilometers) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/ (last visited August 24, 2024)
Area under mean sea level caused by climate change in Italy in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in square kilometers) [Graph], UNDP, June 30, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1477576/inundation-impact-in-italy-by-scenario/