According to a survey conducted among Jewish respondents in Israel in April 2024, 64 percent believed the IDF will win the war in Gaza. On the other hand, 22 percent of respondents did not believe the IDF could win the war, and 15 percent did not have an opinion on either of the two. Since the start of the Israel-Hamas war on October 7, 2023, there has been a consistent decline in certainty among Jews in the army’s ability to win the war. Specifically, the share of respondents convinced of IDF's likely victory dropped from 92 percent on October 15, 2023 to 64 percent in the most recent poll in April 2024.
IDF refers to the Israel Defense Force i.e. the Israeli military.
Data includes only Jewish respondents.
Data reflects respondents' answer to the question, "In your opinion, will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?"
The data was collected as part of a series of 15 public opinion polls conducted by the source since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war from October 15, 2023, to April 16, 2024. The surveys were managed by the Data Analytics Desk at INSS and fieldwork was implemented by the Rafi Smith Institute. Polls included 600 men and women interviewed in Hebrew and 200 in Arabic language, constituting a representative sample of the Israeli adult population.
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The Institute for National Security Studies. (May 26, 2024). 'Will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?' [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 24, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/
The Institute for National Security Studies. "'Will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?'." Chart. May 26, 2024. Statista. Accessed November 24, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/
The Institute for National Security Studies. (2024). 'Will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?'. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 24, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/
The Institute for National Security Studies. "'will The Idf Win The War in Gaza or Not?'." Statista, Statista Inc., 26 May 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/
The Institute for National Security Studies, 'Will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?' Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/ (last visited November 24, 2024)
'Will the IDF win the war in Gaza or not?' [Graph], The Institute for National Security Studies, May 26, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1475028/israel-jewish-public-opinion-on-idf-war-effort/
