Projected number of ethnic minority MPs after the next UK election by scenario 2024

Published by D. Clark, Feb 20, 2024
The next UK parliament is expected to be the most ethnically diverse in history, with between 77 and 84 ethnic minority MPs elected depending on the scenario. In the last election, held in 2019, there were estimated to be 65 MPs from ethnic minority backgrounds, compared with just four in 1987.

Projected number of ethnic minority MPs in the UK House of Commons after the next general election 2024, by scenario

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Release date

January 2024

Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2024

Supplementary notes

Original figures were provided as a range, the highest figures were used in this statistic, original figures are provided below.

Hung/tied:
Labour (53-54 MPs)
Conservative (20-21 MPs)
Labour majority of one:
Labour (56-58 MPs)
Conservative (19-20 MPs)
Labour majority of 50:
Labour (58-61 MPs)
Conservative (17-18 MPs)
Labour majority of 100:
Labour (59-63 MPs)
Conservative (16-17 MPs)

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