In a survey conducted in 2023, around 39 percent of survey respondents stated they would vote for the African National Congress (ANC) party in the upcoming 2024 general election. The Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) followed, with a share of around 19 percent and 17 percent, respectively.
It is important to note that these results do not present a prediction for the election results as various factors could influence the voters' decision up until the election day.
Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024
Characteristic
Share of registered voters
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interviews conducted in the homes and home languages of respondents
Method of interview
Face-to-face interview
Supplementary notes
South African general elections take place once every five years,
Fieldwork for this poll was done prior to the formation of the uMkhonto we Sizwe party by the ex-president Jacob Zuma on 16 December 2023.
Question asked: "If there were National [or Provincial] elections tomorrow, which political party would you vote for?"
The source states the following: "A scientific process of multi-stage stratified random selection distributed interviews in all areas of the county, including deep rural areas. All results were aggregated and then analyzed as described. The margin of error of this study, at a 95% confidence level is plus or minus 0.65. It's crucial to emphasize that these results do note constitute an election prediction. Election predictions can only be made in the final stages leading up to the election. These results include 15% of the electorate who have not aligned themselves with a particular political party, often indicated as "will not vote", "refused to answer", or "don't know". These responses are all valid answers to the questions asked, and delving deeper into this data can provide valuable insights for political parties, to analyze the “undecided vote”. Simply disregarding these responses and reallocating the 15% to other political parties would be comparable to disregarding people's democratic right to make their own choices."
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Ipsos South Africa. (February 6, 2024). Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved July 22, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/
Ipsos South Africa. "Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024 ." Chart. February 6, 2024. Statista. Accessed July 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/
Ipsos South Africa. (2024). Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024 . Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: July 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/
Ipsos South Africa. "Share of Possible Party Choices of Registered Voters for The General Election in South Africa in 2024 ." Statista, Statista Inc., 6 Feb 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/
Ipsos South Africa, Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/ (last visited July 22, 2024)
Share of possible party choices of registered voters for the general election in South Africa in 2024 [Graph], Ipsos South Africa, February 6, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440502/general-election-party-choices-of-registered-voters-in-south-africa/