About 1.4 million households with mortgages up for renewal in the United Kingdom (UK) will face increasing monthly costs by the end of 2024 because of the aggressive mortgage interest hikes since the beginning of 2022. For about one million of these households, the increase will be between one British pound and 300 British pounds, while for 388,000 households, the increase will be higher. By December 2026, the number of households with rising mortgage payments is projected at 3.9 million. Meanwhile, about two million mortgage borrowers are expected to benefit from reduced mortgage payments by the end of 2026.
Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase
(in thousands)
owner-occupier mortgages; increase relative to Q2 2023
Supplementary notes
The source adds that increases in payments on variable-rate mortgages are calculated by using the implied uplift in the OIS curve. The payments increase for fixed-rate mortgages is calculated by assuming a typical fixed rate at the time of remortgaging.Â
The figures exclude mortgages with less than 1,000 British pounds in balances outstanding.
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Bank of England. (June 27, 2024). Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase (in thousands) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 18, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/
Bank of England. "Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase (in thousands)." Chart. June 27, 2024. Statista. Accessed November 18, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/
Bank of England. (2024). Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase (in thousands). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 18, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/
Bank of England. "Number of Mortgage Loans Projected to Experience a Change in Monthly Costs in The United Kingdom (Uk) by 4th Quarter 2024 and 4th Quarter 2026, by Cost Increase (in Thousands)." Statista, Statista Inc., 27 Jun 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/
Bank of England, Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase (in thousands) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/ (last visited November 18, 2024)
Number of mortgage loans projected to experience a change in monthly costs in the United Kingdom (UK) by 4th quarter 2024 and 4th quarter 2026, by cost increase (in thousands) [Graph], Bank of England, June 27, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1399938/monthly-cost-increase-of-uk-mortgages/