Forecast market size for carbon-neutral fuels Japan FY 2030-2050, by fuel

In 2030, the market size for hydrogen is forecast to reach over one trillion Japanese yen. For 2050, the hydrogen market size is forecast to expand to over five trillion yen, making hydrogen the carbon-neutral fuel with the largest forecast market size.
Japan is embarking on an ambitious journey to transition to renewable fuels as part of its broader strategy to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. A central component of this strategy is the expansion of the hydrogen market to make it a cornerstone of Japan's renewable energy portfolio. 

Long-term vision for Hydrogen

Looking further ahead, by 2050, the hydrogen market size is expected to reach over 1.75 trillion Japanese yen. The integration of hydrogen into various sectors, including transportation, industrial processes, and power generation, is planned to further reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance energy security. However, despite the ambitious plans, the domestic production volume of hydrogen has remained at around the same level in recent years. 

Biofuels and renewable energy integration

Next to hydrogen, biofuels also play a crucial role in the nation's decarbonization efforts. Japan is increasingly looking to biodiesel and bioethanol to reduce its carbon footprint in the transportation sector. For instance, Japan Railway plans to introduce biofuels such as biodiesel in all its diesel trains by 2030. Additionally, the production and utilization of solid biofuels for electricity generation have been growing steadily. The combination of hydrogen and biofuels, supported by the continued expansion of renewable energies, should help Japan to work towards its carbon neutrality goals and transition to a sustainable energy future.