Global fossil fuel carbon dioxide emissions were around 38 billion metric tons (GtCO₂) in 2023. Under current policy settings, global fossil CO₂ emissions are expected to peak in the coming years, and fall to 36.2 GtCO₂ by 2030. The electricity and heat sector is projected to experience emissions reductions of 50 percent between 2023 and 2050, while those from the industry sector is would remain stable over this period.
Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector
(in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide)
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Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector
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*Other includes buildings, industrial process and flaring emissions, and carbon capture and removals impact.
The State Policies Scenario (STEPS) provides a sense of the prevailing direction of travel for the energy system, based on a detailed assessment of current policy settings.
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IEA. (October 16, 2024). Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector (in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 18, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/
IEA. "Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector (in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide)." Chart. October 16, 2024. Statista. Accessed April 18, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/
IEA. (2024). Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector (in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 18, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/
IEA. "Projected Fossil Carbon Dioxide (Co₂) Emissions Worldwide under a Stated Policies Pathway Scenario from 2010 to 2050, by Sector (in Billion Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide)." Statista, Statista Inc., 16 Oct 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/
IEA, Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector (in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/ (last visited April 18, 2025)
Projected fossil carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions worldwide under a stated policies pathway scenario from 2010 to 2050, by sector (in billion metric tons of carbon dioxide) [Graph], IEA, October 16, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1385434/fossil-carbon-dioxide-emissions-projections-by-sector/
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