GHG emission projections in China 2021-2050, by sector

Published by
Daniel Slotta,
Jan 3, 2024
The energy sector is the largest producer of greenhouse gas emissions in China, having surpassed 6.6 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (GTCO₂e) in 2021. According to World Data Lab, emissions from this sector are projected to increase to nearly 7.1 GTCO₂e by 2050 under a "business-as-usual" scenario. In contrast, emissions from industry and agriculture would reduce during this time frame.

Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)

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Release date

March 2023

Region

China

Survey time period

2021

Supplementary notes

The numbers created under the “business-as-usual” scenario depict such a scenario without drastic deviations in technology advancement or policy-making from past episodes. While there is typically still some technological progress in the form of reducing emissions intensities (stemming e.g. from energy efficiency gains) that are partly a result of policy actions, this scenario does not take into account announced policy pledges or the like.

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