After the first round of the elections on October 22nd, the latest opinion poll from Atlas Intel presented a not so contested election in Argentina between Javier Milei (LLA) and Sergio Massa (Frente). Milei is the candidate leading the polls with an advantage of over eight percentage points ahead of the second place Massa. According to different polls, the situation is still tossed in the air when comparing political parties with LLA and Frente having the advantage over the rest of the political parties.
Polls by demographics
During a poll in June 2023, the survey depicted a clear picture of the gender division in the voting intention. For both genders, the second favorite party was Todos, the JxC was the party with the highest female voting intention, and LLA for males. The was also a clear division among different age groups, the older generations had a higher voting intention for the classic ideologies on Todos and JxC, meanwhile, the younger generations were more inclined to vote for new parties such as LLA.
Argentina’s main problems
Without doubt, one of the main concerns of the Argentine population is inflation. Since 1946, the country has been terrorized by the constant and expected price increases, creating economic turmoil for households, companies, and the government. Between 2022 and 2023, inflation started to rise again reaching 72 percent in 2022 and expected to reach almost 100 percent in 2023. The second main problem, according to public opinion, is corruption, which could be one of the main reasons why the Argentine voting population is turned to vote for parties other than the current ruling party.
Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate
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Perfil. (November 13, 2023). Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 22, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/
Perfil. "Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate." Chart. November 13, 2023. Statista. Accessed December 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/
Perfil. (2023). Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 22, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/
Perfil. "Polls on The 2023 Argentine General Election Prospects in November 2023, by Candidate." Statista, Statista Inc., 13 Nov 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/
Perfil, Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/ (last visited December 22, 2024)
Polls on the 2023 Argentine general election prospects in November 2023, by candidate [Graph], Perfil, November 13, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1376465/argentina-election-poll-candidate/