Brazil were given the highest chance of winning the 2022 World Cup ahead of the tournament, with an estimated probability of 15.8 percent. Eventual winners Argentina were given the second-highest chance, with 12.6 percent.
Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022
Characteristic
Chance of winning
Brazil
15.8%
Argentina
12.6%
France
12.2%
Spain
9.1%
England
8.7%
Germany
7.8%
Netherlands
7.2%
Portugal
5.8%
Belgium
5.4%
Denmark
3.5%
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%10%11%12%13%14%15%16%17%18%
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BBC. (November 16, 2022). Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 02, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. "Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022." Chart. November 16, 2022. Statista. Accessed April 02, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. (2022). Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 02, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. "Teams with The Highest Chance of Winning The 2022 Fifa World Cup as of November 2022." Statista, Statista Inc., 16 Nov 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC, Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/ (last visited April 02, 2025)
Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 [Graph], BBC, November 16, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
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