Based on policies in place as of October 2022, there was a 93 percent chance that global temperature will increase by at least two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels throughout the century. In 2015, Paris Agreement parties pledged to limit global warming to well below two degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, with the aim of reaching a maximum of 1.5 degrees Celsius. As of 2022, there was a one percent chance of keeping warming below that threshold, based on current policies.
Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022
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Energy Monitor. (November 7, 2022). Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 19, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/
Energy Monitor. "Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022." Chart. November 7, 2022. Statista. Accessed December 19, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/
Energy Monitor. (2022). Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 19, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/
Energy Monitor. "Probability of Temperature Rise Worldwide Based on Current Policies as of October 2022." Statista, Statista Inc., 7 Nov 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/
Energy Monitor, Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/ (last visited December 19, 2024)
Probability of temperature rise worldwide based on current policies as of October 2022 [Graph], Energy Monitor, November 7, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1343623/global-temperature-increase-probability/