ETS carbon price expectations by system 2022-2030

Carbon prices across multiple emissions trading systems worldwide are expected to increase during the period of 2026 to 2030, compared to 2022 to 2026. The average EU ETS carbon price is expected to be 84.4 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period 2022 to 2025, but is projected to rise to almost 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period of 2026 to 2030, according to a survey of International Emissions Trading Association members. EU ETS carbon pricing broke the 90 euros per metric ton of CO₂ barrier in February 2022, and in February 2023 it surpassed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂.

Average carbon price expectations worldwide from 2022 to 2030, by trading system (in euros per metric ton of CO₂)

Characteristic	2022-2025	2026-2030
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Release date

May 2023

More information

Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

April 5 to April 28, 2023

Number of respondents

187 IETA member respresentatives*

Method of interview

Online survey

Supplementary notes

The question was originally phrased as "What do you expect the average carbon price to be for each of the following ETS in the periods 2022-2025 and 2026-2030?"

* Survey participants were given the freedom to select which sections and topics they answered, and therefore some statistics are based on samples smaller than 187. Survey respondents represent several sectors, including finance and investment, power producers/utilities, and oil and gas.

** Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative is a cooperative effort among the following states: Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Virginia.

To calculate the expected average carbon price, where respondents selected the “Over €120” category this was assumed to be €135.

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