Under current climate policies, Sudan would face a GDP loss of 32 percent by 2050 and a shrinkage of over 80 percent by 2100 due to climate change. According to the source's estimates, this would be the most significant loss among all assessed countries in Africa. Even in a scenario of limiting temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the damage to Sudan's economy would stand at a GDP reduction of 22 percent by 2050 and 51 percent by 2100. Eight out of 10 countries estimated to record the largest GDP reduction because of climate change globally were located in Africa. The estimates did not consider potential adaptation measures to alleviate the economic loss.
Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario
Current climate policies are projected to lead to global warming of about three degrees Celsius in 2100.
According to the source, estimates are "based on an econometric model that is
based on the relationship between GDP growth and temperature, without accounting for the possible impacts of extreme events. Incorporating climate extremes such as droughts, floods or storms that could have an even more detrimental impact on economic performance".
The source also adds: "It is also worth keeping in mind that no adaptation measures which could potentially alleviate some of the damage are incorporated here".
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Christian Aid. (November 8, 2021). Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved December 18, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/
Christian Aid. "Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario." Chart. November 8, 2021. Statista. Accessed December 18, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/
Christian Aid. (2021). Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: December 18, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/
Christian Aid. "Estimated Share of Gdp Loss Due to Climate Change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by Country and Scenario." Statista, Statista Inc., 8 Nov 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/
Christian Aid, Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/ (last visited December 18, 2024)
Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Africa in 2050 and 2100, by country and scenario [Graph], Christian Aid, November 8, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1313402/gdp-loss-due-to-climate-change-in-african-countries/
