Passenger cars will be the largest segment in the U.S. electric vehicle fleet in 2030, at just under 44.2 million units. Light commercial vehicles are also projected to grow upward by millions, up from 24,000 in 2021 to 3.8 millions in 2030. Due to infrastructure challenges, the truck and bus segments are expected to record a slower growth.
Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment
(in 1,000s)
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Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment
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Data includes battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, and is based on a scenario where zero-emissions vehicles (including BEVs, PHEVs, and fuel-cell electric vehicles) account for 50 percent of the vehicle sales in the U.S. in 2030.
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Mathilde Carlier
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McKinsey & Company. (April 18, 2022). Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved April 26, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. "Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s)." Chart. April 18, 2022. Statista. Accessed April 26, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. (2022). Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: April 26, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. "Forecast Size of The Electric Vehicle Fleet in The United States between 2021 and 2030, by Segment (in 1,000s)." Statista, Statista Inc., 18 Apr 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company, Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/ (last visited April 26, 2025)
Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) [Graph], McKinsey & Company, April 18, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
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