A scenario in which no new natural gas pipelines are built in the United States between 2024 and 2050 would have impacts on the country's natural gas prices, production, consumption, exports and capacity. Compared to a reference case which considers all current and planned interstate pipeline projects, the no new pipeline builds case would lead to a 10 percent increase in the Henry Hub price in 2050. Dry natural gas production would decrease by about five percent under a no new pipeline builds scenario.
Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050
Characteristic
Reference case
No new interstate pipeline builds case
Henry Hub price (in 2021 USD/MMBtu)
3.59
3.99
Dry natural gas production (in Tcf)
42.6
40.6
Natural gas consumption (in Tcf)
34
32.6
Natural gas used for electric power (in Tcf)
11.5
10.3
Natural gas pipeline exports (in Tcf)
3.9
3.6
Liquefied natural gas exports (in Tcf)
5.9
5.7
Interregional pipeline capacity (in Bcf/d)
170.5
163
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MMBtu = million British thermal units
Tcf = trillion cubic feet
Bcf/d = billion cubic feet per day
The "No new interstate pipeline builds case" refers to a scenario where no additional interstate natural gas pipelines are built between 2024 and 2050. In the reference case, all planned or existing bi-directional natural gas pipeline capacity is considered.
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EIA. (March 3, 2022). Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050 [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved May 16, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/
EIA. "Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050." Chart. March 3, 2022. Statista. Accessed May 16, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/
EIA. (2022). Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: May 16, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/
EIA. "Forecast Impact of Not Building New Interstate Natural Gas Pipelines in The United States in 2050." Statista, Statista Inc., 3 Mar 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/
EIA, Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/ (last visited May 16, 2025)
Forecast impact of not building new interstate natural gas pipelines in the United States in 2050 [Graph], EIA, March 3, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303808/us-effects-of-not-building-new-gas-pipelines/
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