Firmness of Canadians' voting decision for federal election 2021, by voting intention

Published by Statista Research Department, Aug 6, 2024
On August 15, 2021, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, then in a favorable position in the polls, asked the Governor General to dissolve Parliament so that a new federal election could be held two years earlier than planned. While Canadians' voting intentions fluctuated only slightly between that decision and mid-September, it appears that more than one in five Canadians were still unsure about their final vote three days before the election. Those most certain of their choice were among the Conservative Party, with 69 percent of voters reporting their choice as final a few days before the election. It also appears that Annamie Paul's Green Party was the one that gathered the most early voters.

Is your voting intention for the Canadian federal election final or is it possible that you may change your mind?

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Sources

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Release date

September 2021

Region

Canada

Survey time period

September 14 to 17, 2021

Number of respondents

1,943 respondents

Age group

18 years and older

Special properties

resolute voters

Method of interview

Online survey

Supplementary notes

The question was phrased by the source as follows: "Est-ce que votre choix est définitif ou il est possible que vous changiez d’idée?"

The source adds the following information:
"An oversampling of 604 respondents was conducted in Quebec"
"The Bloc Québécois was posted only to respondents in Quebec"

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