Welsh parliament voting intention 2024 | Statista

As of July 2024, 27 percent of people in Wales intended to vote for the Labour Party in a potential Welsh Parliamentary (Senedd) election, compared with 18 percent who would vote for the Conservatives and 23 percent who would vote for the Welsh independence party, Plaid Cymru.

Voting intention in an election for the Welsh Parliament (Senedd) from December 2019 to July 2024

Characteristic	Labour Party	Conservative Party	Plaid Cymru	Liberal Democrats	Reform UK	Other
Dec 19	33%	31%	18%	7%	7%	4%
Jan 20	33%	35%	19%	5%	4%	4%
Apr 20	32%	38%	19%	4%	4%	3%
Jun 20	34%	31%	22%	4%	3%	6%
Sep 20	34%	29%	24%	3%	4%	6%
Oct 20	38%	27%	20%	3%	5%	7%
Jan 21	34%	26%	22%	4%	5%	10%
Feb 21	33%	28%	22%	4%	4%	9%
Mar 21	32%	30%	23%	5%	3%	7%
Apr 21	35%	24%	24%	3%	4%	10%
May 21	36%	29%	20%	3%	4%	8%
Oct 21	38%	25%	20%	4%	5%	8%
Dec 21	40%	23%	17%	4%	7%	9%
Mar 22	38%	24%	21%	6%	5%	7%
Jun 22	37%	24%	21%	6%	5%	8%
Sep 22	40%	20%	22%	6%	5%	7%
Dec 22	44%	17%	20%	6%	7%	7%
Feb 23	43%	18%	20%	4%	9%	6%
May 23	40%	18%	17%	7%	8%	9%
Sep 23	41%	18%	19%	6%	8%	7%
Dec 23	33%	21%	23%	6%	10%	7%
Jun 24	30%	19%	23%	6%	12%	10%
Jul 24	27%	18%	23%	6%	12%	10%

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Release date

July 2024

More information

Region

United Kingdom (Wales)

Survey time period

December 2019 to July 2024

Number of respondents

1,072*

Age group

18 years and older

Special properties

Welsh adults

Method of interview

Online survey

Supplementary notes

*Count is for the most recent survey

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