Expected impact of the opioid epidemic on children in the U.S. by 2030, by scenario

Number of children affected by the opioid epidemic in the United States in 2017 and forecasts for 2030, by scenario*

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Release date

November 2019

Region

United States

Survey time period

2017

Age group

0 to 17 years

Supplementary notes

* Optimistic scenario- The prevalence of prescription-based OUD and nonprescription opioid use declines at twice the rate of current trends.
Pessimistic scenario- Efforts to curb the epidemic slow.

Included in the 2030 estimates are additional children born to people with OUD in 2017, children of people who will have developed an OUD between 2018 and 2030, and children who will have developed an OUD between 2018 and 2030.
Individuals do not age out of the predictive model. For example, children in foster care due to parental opioid use who turn 18 before 2030 are still counted in the 2030 estimate because they were affected by the opioid epidemic during childhood.

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