Nigeria: inflation rate forecast 2019-2028

The average inflation rate in the Nigeria was forecast to continuously decrease between 2023 and 2028 by in total 6.1 percentage points. The average inflation rate is estimated to amount to 14 percent in 2028.

Following the definitions provided by the International Monetary Fund, this indicator measures inflation based upon the year on year change in the average consumer price index. The latter expresses a country's average level of prices based on a typical basket of consumer goods and services. Depicted here is the year-on-year change in said index measure, expressed in percent.
Find more key insights for the average inflation rate in countries like Senegal, Mali and Cote D'Ivoire.

Urban versus rural inflation disparity

Comparing rural to urban areas in Nigeria showed that inflation was slightly worse in urban areas, with a difference of close to one percent in 2022. Other economic indicators reveal that inflation had a severe impact on the prices of consumer goods. Moreover, the Consumer Index Price of food in Nigeria in 2022 was 590.2. The food products with the highest percentage change in price was beans with 40 percent and over, depending on the color. That was followed by beef articles with 34 to close to 37 percent, depending on the part.

Fuel price surges: a closer look at diesel price fluctuations in Nigeria

Another area that saw a dramatic spike in prices was fuel prices. In February 2023, there was a 0.98 percent rise in the cost of diesel in Nigeria when compared to January 2023. The most substantial surge occurred in March 2022. During that month, the average price of diesel surged by nearly 73 percent in contrast to the preceding month. This sharp escalation was attributed to a worldwide deficit in fuel supply and difficulties in the supply chain, which was prompted by the conflict in Ukraine and regulations implemented to control the transmission of COVID-19. Furthermore, consumers in Nigeria faced an average diesel price of 836.91 Nigerian naira (NGN), approximately 1.82 U.S. dollars, per liter. The North-Central States of Nigeria displayed the most elevated prices, with consumers in this region paying an average of 850.65 NGN per liter, roughly 1.85 U.S. dollars. During this specific timeframe, Osun emerged as the State with the highest price across Nigeria, as diesel prices reached a pinnacle of 707 NGN (equivalent to 1.7 U.S. dollars).