Under the "Sustainable Development Scenario", emissions from all modes of transportation would reduce considerably over the coming decades. Presently, these transportation modes emit roughly seven gigatons of carbon dioxide every year. However, with technological innovations, low-carbon fuel use and electrification, emissions from this sector could potentially drop to one gigaton of CO₂ a year. By this period, several modes of transportation will have transitioned away from fossil fuels completely.
Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode
(in GtCO₂ per year)
Characteristic
Aviation
Shipping
Medium-and heavy trucks
Light-commercial vehicles
Buses and minibuses
Passenger cars
Two/three-vehicles
Rail
2070
0.4
0.3
0.2
0
0
0
0
0
2065
0.5
0.3
0.4
0
0.1
0.1
0
0
2060
0.6
0.3
0.6
0
0.1
0.1
0
0
2055
0.6
0.4
1
0
0.2
0.3
0
0.1
2050
0.7
0.5
1.3
0
0.2
0.5
0
0.1
2045
0.8
0.5
1.5
0.1
0.3
0.8
0
0.1
2040
0.8
0.6
1.7
0.1
0.4
1.3
0
0.1
2035
0.9
0.7
1.9
0.2
0.4
1.9
0.1
0.1
2030
1
0.8
1.9
0.3
0.4
2.5
0.1
0.1
2025
1
0.9
1.9
0.3
0.4
2.8
0.2
0.1
2020
0.6
0.8
1.6
0.4
0.5
3
0.2
0.2
2015
0.9
0.8
1.6
0.3
0.5
3
0.2
0.2
2010
0.8
0.7
1.4
0.4
0.4
2.6
0.2
0.2
Created with Highcharts 7.2.2Emissions in GtCO₂ per yearAviationShippingMedium-and heavy trucksLight-commercial vehiclesBuses and minibusesPassenger carsTwo/three-vehiclesRail200020052010201520202025203020352040204520502055206020652070
0246810
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IEA. (October 26, 2022). Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode (in GtCO₂ per year) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved February 22, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/
IEA. "Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode (in GtCO₂ per year)." Chart. October 26, 2022. Statista. Accessed February 22, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/
IEA. (2022). Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode (in GtCO₂ per year). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: February 22, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/
IEA. "Global Transportation Co₂ Emissions in The Sustainable Development Scenario in Selected Years from 2000 to 2070, by Mode (in Gtco₂ per Year)." Statista, Statista Inc., 26 Oct 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/
IEA, Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode (in GtCO₂ per year) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/ (last visited February 22, 2025)
Global transportation CO₂ emissions in the Sustainable Development Scenario in selected years from 2000 to 2070, by mode (in GtCO₂ per year) [Graph], IEA, October 26, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1200209/transport-mode-co2-emissions-outlook-worldwide/
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