Forecasted electoral votes earned by U.S. presidential candidates, by lean 2020

Forecasted number of Electoral College votes earned by presidential candidates in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, by lean

CharacteristicForecasted number of electors
Likely Democrat 216
Lean Democrat 63
Toss-up 134
Lean Republican 17
Likely Republican 108
Created with Highcharts 7.2.2Forecasted number of electors21621663631341341717108108Likely DemocratLean DemocratToss-upLean RepublicanLikely Republican
050100150200250
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Source

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Release date

October 2020

Region

United States

Survey time period

October 2020

Supplementary notes

The source conducted an analysis based on six potential election scenarios, and puts states into three categories:
Likely Republican or Likely Democrat: states that appear firmly behind one candidate and are unlikely to change.
Lean Republican or Lean Democrat: states that appear to favor one candidate, but remain competitive.
Toss-up: the most competitive states that either candidate has a good chance to win.

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