According to experts, the total capital of the Russian banking system was estimated to mark below the 2019 levels during 2020-2021 years only under a severe scenario. The severe scenario implied that the critical state of the crisis caused by coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and sinking oil prices would last till the end of 2020 and have a negative effect on the economy of the country throughout 2021.
For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.
Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario*
(in trillion Russian rubles)
* According to the source, the severe scenario estimates that the critical phase of the crisis to last through the whole 2020, with the negative trend continuing until the end of 2021. Under such setting, the losses of the banking sector can be comparable to that of 2008.
The negative scenario implies that the critical phase of the crisis will end after the first half of 2020, with the negative trend continuing for another year,
The moderate scenario will not lead to losses in the banking sector, but it will still require significant efforts from the players to maintain the quality of the portfolios. According to this scenario, the critical phase of the crisis and the negative manifestations will affect only 2020.
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RBC.ru. (March 24, 2020). Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario* (in trillion Russian rubles) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved August 25, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/
RBC.ru. "Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario* (in trillion Russian rubles)." Chart. March 24, 2020. Statista. Accessed August 25, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/
RBC.ru. (2020). Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario* (in trillion Russian rubles). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: August 25, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/
RBC.ru. "Estimated Total Capital of Russian Banking System for 2020 and 2021 in View of Coronavirus (Covid-19), by Stress Scenario* (in Trillion Russian Rubles)." Statista, Statista Inc., 24 Mar 2020, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/
RBC.ru, Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario* (in trillion Russian rubles) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/ (last visited August 25, 2024)
Estimated total capital of Russian banking system for 2020 and 2021 in view of coronavirus (COVID-19), by stress scenario* (in trillion Russian rubles) [Graph], RBC.ru, March 24, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1106300/russia-covid-19-influenced-banking-industry-estimated-capital/