Russia: fertility rate forecast 2035

The total fertility rate in Russia was expected to see a gradual increase between 2020 and 2035, according to the medium scenario, reaching 1.58 children given birth to by a woman. The low variant suggested a gradual decrease in numbers, which would lead to a fertility rate of 1.37. In 2019, the fertility rate in Russia was measured at 1.5 children per woman.

Forecast total fertility rate in Russia from 2020 to 2035, by scenario (in children per woman)

Characteristic	Low variant	Medium variant	High variant
2035	1.37	1.58	1.74
2034	1.36	1.56	1.72
2033	1.35	1.55	1.71
2032	1.34	1.53	1.7
2031	1.33	1.52	1.68
2030	1.32	1.5	1.67
2029	1.31	1.48	1.66
2028	1.3	1.46	1.64
2027	1.29	1.45	1.62
2026	1.28	1.43	1.61
2025	1.28	1.42	1.61
2024	1.29	1.43	1.61
2023	1.31	1.45	1.62
2022	1.33	1.49	1.65
2021	1.39	1.51	1.63
2020	1.41	1.49	1.54

Loading statistic...

Download

Source

Show detailed source information?

Already a member?

Source

Use Ask Statista Research Service

Release date

March 2020

More information

Region

Russia

Survey time period

2019

Supplementary notes

The source specified the following information:
"Total fertility rate shows an average number of children per one woman, that would be born alive to mother if, throughout her reproductive period (15–49 years) age-specific fertility rates for the specified year remained unchanged."

"The low variant of projection is based on extrapolation of existing demographic trends, the high variant is aimed on the achievement of the goals determined in the Concept of demographical policy of Russian Federation up to 2025. The medium variant of projection is considered the most realistic, it takes into account current demographic trends and measures undertaken to improve demographic situation."

Figures have been rounded.

Citation formats