Voter turnout in UK elections 1918-2024
In the UK's general election of 2024 voter turnout was estimated to have been 60 percent, the lowest turnout since 2001, when it was 59.4 percent. Between 1922 and 1997 voter turnout never fell below 70 percent, but in 2001 it dropped to just 59.4 percent. Since that low point, voter turnout has gradually recovered and reached 72.2 percent in the Brexit Referendum of 2016, which is still some way off the peak of 83.9 percent recorded in the 1950 General Election. The trend of low voter turnouts in recent times is also reflected in the European elections, which had its lowest voter turnout in 2014 at 42.61 percent.
Labour leading the polls going into 2024
As of January 2024, around 46 percent of people in Great Britain said they would vote for the Labour Party, compared with 22 percent who would vote Conservative. Although the Conservatives led the polls for much of 2020 and 2021, their popularity has sank considerably since then. Boris Johnson's involvement in a number of political scandals, particularly "partygate" saw his job ratings plummet, and eventually cost him his job in 2022. The fact this Johnson was followed by the disastrous, but short-lived reign of Liz Truss further soured the image of the Conservatives for British voters. Although Rishi Sunak has managed to achieve a degree of political stability, the Conservatives are certainly in danger of losing their first election since 2010 when the UK heads to the ballot box next.
A winter election in 2019
The next UK general election will have to occur by January 2025 at the latest, but will probably take place in Autumn or Spring like the majority of elections displayed here. Despite this, the UK's most recent election in 2019 took place in December, the first winter election since 1974. Typically, elections in the UK take place in warmer months, due to a fear that bad weather will lead to lower turnouts. The irregular timing of the last election was due to the political chaos caused by Brexit however, and the failure of the UK to leave the European Union in 2019. The Conservatives won 365 seats in this election achieving a large enough majority to get their Brexit deal approved in the House of Commons after three and a half years of political chaos.