Tomato Ketchup - United Kingdom | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$511.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.37% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.52 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 127.60m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.3% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 1.7kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup Market in the United Kingdom's Sauces & Spices sector has seen minimal growth due to various factors such as low consumer demand and competition from alternative condiments. Despite the negligible growth rate, the market still remains a popular choice for consumers seeking convenience and familiar flavors in their food.

Customer preferences: The demand for organic and natural tomato ketchup products is on the rise in the UK, as consumers become more health-conscious and prioritize clean label and sustainable food options. This trend is also driven by the growing awareness of the negative health effects of added sugars and artificial ingredients in traditional ketchup brands. Additionally, with the rise of vegan and plant-based diets, there is a growing demand for plant-based ketchup alternatives, made with high-quality ingredients and free from animal products.

Trends in the market: In the United Kingdom, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options. Consumers are increasingly opting for low-sugar and organic ketchup varieties, leading to an increase in demand for these products. Additionally, there is a growing trend of using social media and influencer marketing to promote ketchup as a versatile condiment, driving sales for the market. This trend is expected to continue, posing opportunities for industry players to expand their product offerings and target health-conscious consumers.

Local special circumstances: In the United Kingdom, the Tomato Ketchup market is heavily influenced by the country's love for traditional pub-style meals and condiments. The demand for organic and healthier options has also increased, leading to the emergence of local artisanal ketchup brands. Additionally, the strict labeling regulations and consumer preference for locally sourced ingredients have created a unique market for ketchup made with British-grown tomatoes. These factors have contributed to the growth and diversification of the Tomato Ketchup market in the UK.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market in United Kingdom is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as trade policies, consumer spending patterns, and overall economic health. With Brexit looming, changes in trade policies and tariffs could impact the import and export of key ingredients used in tomato ketchup production. Consumer spending patterns also play a significant role, as a strong economy and rising disposable income often lead to increased demand for convenience foods like tomato ketchup. Additionally, government fiscal policies and overall economic health can impact consumer confidence and purchasing power, which ultimately affects market performance.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.