Tomato Ketchup - Nordics | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$417.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.46% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$14.90 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 125.80m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 4.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup Market in the Nordics has seen minimal growth due to factors like changing consumer preferences and increasing competition. However, the convenience and health benefits of online shopping are expected to drive growth in the future.

Customer preferences: With a growing interest in healthy and sustainable eating, consumers in the Nordics are gravitating towards organic and natural tomato ketchup options. This trend is driven by a desire for transparency in ingredients and a preference for locally sourced and environmentally friendly products. Additionally, there has been an increase in demand for plant-based ketchup alternatives, catering to the rising number of flexitarians and vegans in the region.

Trends in the market: In the Nordics, the Tomato Ketchup market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and all-natural options. This trend is driven by increasing consumer preference for healthier and ethically sourced products. In addition, there is a growing trend of using social media and influencer marketing to promote these products, reaching a wider audience. This trajectory is expected to continue as consumers become more health-conscious and demand transparency in food sourcing. For industry stakeholders, this trend presents an opportunity for product innovation and differentiation, as well as the need to adapt to changing consumer preferences. It also highlights the importance of sustainable and ethical sourcing practices in the Tomato Ketchup market.

Local special circumstances: In the Nordics, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the region's strong focus on sustainable and healthy food choices. This has led to the rise of organic and locally sourced tomato ketchup brands, as well as a demand for sugar-free and low-sodium options. Additionally, strict food regulations in the region have resulted in a high quality and safe product offering. In contrast, in the United States, the market is driven by convenience and brand loyalty, with a wide variety of flavor options and larger serving sizes catering to the American consumer's taste preferences.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as changes in consumer preferences, purchasing power, and economic stability. Countries with strong economic growth and stable fiscal policies tend to have higher demand for tomato ketchup, as it is seen as a staple condiment. Similarly, regions with a growing urban population and rising income levels are expected to drive market growth, as consumers have more disposable income to spend on convenience food products like tomato ketchup. Additionally, the rising trend of health-consciousness and demand for natural and organic products is also impacting the market, as consumers are opting for healthier and cleaner ingredient options in their food choices.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.