Margarine - Central Asia | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$326.30m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.06% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$4.12 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 81.54m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.92kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Central Asia is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by shifting consumer preferences toward healthier alternatives, economic fluctuations, and competition from butter and plant-based spreads.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Central Asia are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious dietary choices, spurring a shift towards plant-based spreads and organic options in the margarine market. This trend is influenced by a rising awareness of the health risks associated with trans fats and a growing interest in sustainable eating practices. Additionally, younger demographics, particularly urban dwellers, are driving demand for innovative, convenient products that align with modern lifestyles, reflecting a broader cultural shift towards wellness and sustainability in food consumption.

Trends in the market: In Central Asia, the margarine market is experiencing a notable shift towards health-oriented products as consumers increasingly favor plant-based spreads and organic options. This trend is propelled by heightened awareness of the health risks linked to trans fats and a growing commitment to sustainable eating practices. Urban youth demographics are particularly influential, driving demand for innovative, convenient solutions that cater to contemporary lifestyles. This cultural pivot towards wellness and sustainability signifies a critical opportunity for industry stakeholders to adapt their product offerings, align marketing strategies, and invest in sustainable sourcing practices to meet evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Central Asia, the margarine market is shaped by unique geographical and cultural factors, including diverse culinary traditions and a rich agricultural landscape. The region's emphasis on traditional cooking methods influences consumer preferences for margarine that complements local dishes. Additionally, varying regulatory frameworks across countries impact product formulations, with some nations imposing stricter limits on trans fats. The rise of health consciousness among urban populations is further driving demand for margarine products that align with both local tastes and international health standards, creating opportunities for innovation and growth.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Margarine Market in Central Asia is influenced by macroeconomic factors including regional economic stability, fluctuating commodity prices, and demographic shifts. Economic growth in key countries enhances disposable incomes, leading to increased consumer spending on margarine products. Additionally, fluctuations in agricultural output, driven by climate conditions and global supply chain dynamics, impact raw material availability and pricing. National fiscal policies, such as subsidies for local agriculture, can encourage production, while trade agreements may facilitate access to imported ingredients. Rising urbanization and health trends further shape consumer preferences, driving demand for healthier margarine options.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.