Edible Oils - Nordics | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Edible Oils market amounts to US$437.60m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.41% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$35bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$15.60 are generated in 2024.
In the Edible Oils market, volume is expected to amount to 78.12m kg by 2029. The Edible Oils market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.6% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Edible Oils market is expected to amount to 2.49kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Edible Oils market covers any type of oil that is extracted from plants and nuts and is used for cooking and food preparation.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Olive oil
Sunflower oil
Other edible oils (e.g. palm, soybean, coconut oil, canola oil, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, soybean oil)
Cooking oil blends

Butter
Margarine
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Edible Oils Market within the Oils & Fats sector in the Nordics is experiencing negligible growth, influenced by factors such as market saturation, health trends promoting alternative fats, and evolving consumer preferences for sustainable options.

Customer preferences: Consumers in the Nordics are gravitating towards plant-based and organic edible oils, driven by a growing awareness of health and environmental sustainability. The rise of veganism and flexitarian diets reflects a shift in demographic preferences, particularly among younger generations who prioritize ethical sourcing. Additionally, the demand for locally-produced oils is increasing, as consumers seek to support local economies and reduce carbon footprints. This trend is further influenced by cultural values emphasizing minimal waste and eco-friendly practices, reshaping the edible oils market.

Trends in the market: In the Nordics, the Edible Oils Market is experiencing a significant shift towards plant-based and organic oils, driven by heightened consumer awareness of health and environmental issues. Younger consumers, particularly those following vegan or flexitarian diets, are increasingly prioritizing ethically sourced products. The demand for locally-produced oils is also on the rise, as consumers aim to support local economies and minimize carbon footprints. This trend underscores a cultural emphasis on sustainability, presenting opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and align product offerings with evolving consumer values.

Local special circumstances: In the Nordics, the Edible Oils Market is shaped by a unique blend of geographical and cultural factors that set it apart from other regions. The region's abundant natural resources foster the production of high-quality local oils, such as rapeseed and flaxseed, appealing to eco-conscious consumers. Additionally, stringent regulatory standards promote transparency in sourcing and sustainability, reinforcing public trust. Cultural values centered around health and environmental stewardship drive demand for organic and plant-based oils, creating a fertile ground for innovation and local entrepreneurship in the food sector.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Edible Oils Market in the Nordics is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer purchasing power, commodity prices, and sustainability trends. The region's strong economic health, characterized by high GDP per capita and low unemployment rates, supports disposable income, allowing consumers to prioritize premium and organic oils. Fluctuations in global oilseed prices directly affect local production costs and retail prices, impacting market dynamics. Additionally, shifting consumer preferences towards healthy and environmentally friendly products align with global sustainability initiatives, fostering innovation and growth within the sector. Government incentives for sustainable agriculture further bolster market potential.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.