Edible Oils - Eastern Africa | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Edible Oils market amounts to US$2.74bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 12.53% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$35bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$5.96 are generated in 2024.
In the Edible Oils market, volume is expected to amount to 651.70m kg by 2029. The Edible Oils market is expected to show a volume growth of 7.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Edible Oils market is expected to amount to 1.07kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Edible Oils market covers any type of oil that is extracted from plants and nuts and is used for cooking and food preparation.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Olive oil
Sunflower oil
Other edible oils (e.g. palm, soybean, coconut oil, canola oil, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, soybean oil)
Cooking oil blends

Butter
Margarine
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Edible Oils Market in Eastern Africa is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating oil prices, competition from alternative fats, and changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, impacting overall market expansion.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Eastern Africa are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, leading to a notable shift towards the consumption of oils perceived as healthier, such as olive oil and avocado oil. This trend is influenced by rising awareness of the health risks associated with saturated fats and the growing prevalence of lifestyle diseases. Additionally, younger demographics are more inclined to experiment with diverse cooking oils, reflecting a fusion of traditional and modern culinary practices. Social media and cooking shows also play a significant role in shaping these evolving preferences.

Trends in the market: In Eastern Africa, the Edible Oils Market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, with consumers increasingly opting for oils like olive and avocado oil, driven by rising health consciousness. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger populations who are blending traditional and modern cooking practices, leading to a diversification of oil usage. Additionally, the influence of social media and culinary programs is fostering experimentation and innovation in cooking. For industry stakeholders, these trends underscore the importance of adapting product offerings and marketing strategies to meet evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Eastern Africa, the Edible Oils Market is shaped by diverse local factors, including geographical variations and cultural practices. The region's agricultural landscape supports the cultivation of various oilseeds, such as sunflower and palm, which influences local supply and pricing. Additionally, traditional culinary practices often emphasize the use of locally sourced oils, while cultural celebrations drive demand for specific oils during festivities. Regulatory frameworks also play a role, as governments implement policies promoting healthier oil alternatives, further steering consumer preferences toward nutritious options like olive and avocado oil.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Edible Oils Market in Eastern Africa is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural productivity, global oil prices, and economic stability. Fluctuations in international crude oil prices can impact the cost of production and importation of edible oils, affecting local pricing strategies. Additionally, national economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, plays a crucial role in consumer purchasing power and demand for various oils. Fiscal policies aimed at supporting agriculture and promoting food security also help shape market dynamics, encouraging local oilseed production and enhancing access to healthier oil options, thereby influencing consumer preferences.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.