Butter - Nordics | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Butter market amounts to US$919.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 6.40% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$7bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$32.79 are generated in 2024.
In the Butter market, volume is expected to amount to 110.70m kg by 2029. The Butter market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Butter market is expected to amount to 3.20kg in 2024.

Definition:

Butter is a dairy product made up of several components, such as milk fat, milk proteins, and water. Butter contains a minimum of 80% fat and is widely used in baking and cooking, and as a flavor enhancer for a variety of dishes.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Salted butter
Unsalted butter
Cultured butter
Light butter
Flavored butter

Margarine
Vegetable oils
Other animal fats (e.g. lard)
Clarified butter (Ghee)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Butter Market within the Oils & Fats segment of The Food market in the Nordics is experiencing minimal growth. This stagnation is influenced by shifts towards plant-based alternatives, changing consumer preferences, and increasing health concerns regarding saturated fats.

Customer preferences: Consumers in the Nordics are increasingly prioritizing health and sustainability, leading to a notable decline in traditional butter consumption. This shift is fueled by a growing awareness of dietary impacts, particularly concerning saturated fats, prompting many to explore plant-based spreads and alternatives. Additionally, younger demographics are championing eco-friendly brands, fueling demand for products that align with their values of health and environmental consciousness. As wellness culture gains traction, there is a marked preference for innovative, functional fats that offer nutritional benefits without compromising on taste.

Trends in the market: In the Nordics, the Butter Market is experiencing a significant shift as consumers increasingly gravitate towards plant-based alternatives, driven by heightened health consciousness and sustainability concerns. This trend is characterized by a growing preference for innovative spreads that boast functional benefits, such as omega-3 fatty acids and plant sterols, while minimizing saturated fats. Industry stakeholders are responding by diversifying product lines to include organic, non-GMO options and eco-friendly packaging. As younger consumers prioritize brands that reflect their values, traditional butter is facing declining sales, underscoring the urgent need for adaptation within the market.

Local special circumstances: In the Nordics, the Butter Market is influenced by a strong cultural emphasis on sustainability and health, which shapes consumer preferences towards plant-based alternatives. The region's commitment to environmental stewardship is reflected in strict regulations promoting organic farming and reducing carbon footprints. Additionally, the high level of education and awareness among consumers drives demand for innovative, health-oriented products. Geographically, the cold climate fosters a preference for hearty spreads, yet this is increasingly challenged by the rise of functional plant-based options, prompting traditional manufacturers to innovate.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Butter Market within the Oils & Fats sector in the Nordics is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors including national economic stability, consumer spending power, and global trade dynamics. In a region known for its robust welfare systems and high disposable incomes, consumers are more inclined to invest in premium, sustainably-produced butter and plant-based alternatives. Furthermore, global trends toward health consciousness and environmental sustainability drive local producers to adapt through innovation and diversification. Additionally, supportive fiscal policies aimed at promoting organic agriculture enhance market competitiveness, while trade agreements facilitate the import of diverse oils and fats, expanding consumer choices and influencing market pricing dynamics.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.